Bayesian hierarchical model

Probabilistic Projection of the Sex Ratio at Birth and Missing Female Births by State and Union Territory in India

The sex ratio at birth (SRB) in India has been reported to be imbalanced since the 1970s. Previous studies have shown there is a great variation in the SRB between geographic locations across India till 2016. Considering the enormous population and …

Scenario-Based Bayesian Probabilistic Projections of the Sex Ratio at Birth and Missing Female Births

We describe a method for probabilistic scenario-based projection of the sex ratio at birth (SRB; ratio of male to female live births) for all countries, with a focus on SRB imbalance due to sex-selective abortion till 2100.

S1 Appendix Probabilistic projection of the sex ratio at birth and missing female births by State and Union Territory in India

This web appendix is for Probabilistic projection of the sex ratio at birth and missing female births by State and Union Territory in India.

Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth in seven provinces of Nepal between 1980 and 2016 with probabilistic projections to 2050: a Bayesian modeling approach

We aim to estimate sex ratio at birth (SRB) for the seven provinces of Nepal from 1980 to 2016, and to compute probabilistic projections for provincial SRB through 2050. We use a Bayesian hierarchical time series model based on the 2001, 2006, 2011, …

Technical Appendix Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth in seven provinces of Nepal between 1980 and 2016 with probabilistic projections to 2050: a Bayesian modeling approach

This web appendix is for the preprint Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth in seven provinces of Nepal between 1980 and 2016 with probabilistic projections to 2050: a Bayesian modeling approach.

Global estimation and scenario-based projections of sex ratio at birth and missing female births using a Bayesian hierarchical time series mixture model

The sex ratio at birth (SRB) is defined as the ratio of male to female live births. The SRB imbalance in parts of the world over the past several decades is a direct consequence of sex-selective abortion, driven by the co-existence of son preference, …

A Systematic Assessment of National Under-5 Mortality Rate by Place of Residence for 109 Countries

The progress in reducing the under-5 mortality rate (U5MR) since 1990 has been remarkable but uneven within countries between urban and rural populations. While trend U5MR estimates have been published frequently, an analysis of U5MR by urban and …

Levels and trends in the sex ratio at birth and missing female births for 29 states and union territories in India 1990-2016: A Bayesian modeling study

The sex ratio at birth (SRB) has risen in India and reaches well beyond the levels under normal circumstances since the 1970s. The lasting imbalanced SRB has resulted in much more males than females in India. A population with severely distorted sex …

Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels

We identify 12 countries with strong statistical evidence of SRB imbalance during 1970--2017, resulting in 45.0 (95% uncertainty interval [36.4; 54.8]) million missing female births globally. The majority of those missing female births are in China, …

Web Appendix Systematic assessment of the sex ratio at birth for all countries and estimation of national imbalances and regional reference levels

This web appendix formed part of the original submission and has been peer reviewed. The journal post it as supplied by the authors. Supplement to: Chao, F., Gerland, P., Cook, A.